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Consulting · MSc capstone

ProfessionalReal data

Attendance Forecasting & Prioritisation

UoB Sport & Fitness · 2024

What this is

Benchmarked SARIMA, Prophet, Holt-Winters and Random Forest across six categories on out-of-sample MAE; a tuned Random Forest roughly halved error on the hardest categories. Paired with ABC/Pareto prioritisation. Genuine model-selection rigour, not optimisation.

Metrics

Cardio MAE

23.8 to 11.2

Holistic MAE

26.5 to 13.4

Driver

Previous-week bookings strongest predictor

Stack

SARIMAProphetRandom ForestPareto/ABC

What I would not claim

Nothing beyond what is listed above.