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Consulting · MSc capstone
ProfessionalReal dataAttendance Forecasting & Prioritisation
UoB Sport & Fitness · 2024
What this is
Benchmarked SARIMA, Prophet, Holt-Winters and Random Forest across six categories on out-of-sample MAE; a tuned Random Forest roughly halved error on the hardest categories. Paired with ABC/Pareto prioritisation. Genuine model-selection rigour, not optimisation.
Metrics
Cardio MAE
23.8 to 11.2
Holistic MAE
26.5 to 13.4
Driver
Previous-week bookings strongest predictor
Stack
SARIMAProphetRandom ForestPareto/ABC
What I would not claim
Nothing beyond what is listed above.