Multi-Horizon Demand Forecasting

Data Scientist · Manor Park Trading Company · 2024

What this is

Demand forecasting across ~7,000 SKUs over Shopify, Amazon, eBay and The Range at three horizons, paired with a seven-cluster customer and product segmentation.

Metrics

Accuracy

+28% weekly · +19% monthly · +37% quarterly

Segmentation

Seven clusters for prioritisation

Campaigns

~7% ROAS; analysis associated with ~£78k incremental revenue

Reporting

Automation cut per-draft time ~50%

Stack

PythonForecastingClusteringCampaign analytics

Provenance

The ~£78k figure is revenue associated with the analysis; no holdout test, so not a causal claim.

What I would not claim

Nothing beyond what is listed above.

Explore the deltas

The same before/after figures, interactive. Toggle between the three roles.

Residual RMSE improved ~0.3 to 0.5 GWh/h; Christmas fix ~0.35 GWh/h. Correlation ~0.84.